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Classification Models Compared

Logistic, trees, XGBoost — and how to judge them

SK

Skari Team

Skari

July 2026·11 min read

Confusion Matrix

Correct predictions sit on the diagonal (TP, TN); off-diagonal cells are the errors.

82TP11FN14FP93TNPNPred +Pred −

When the outcome is a category — churn or stay, fraud or legit, approve or deny — you reach for a classifier. The question is which one, and how to know it actually works.

Watch out

Accuracy alone is a trap. On a dataset that's 95% "no fraud," a model that predicts "no fraud" every time is 95% accurate and completely useless.

The Main Models

Logistic Regression

Linear, fast, and interpretable — you get coefficients you can explain. A strong baseline; needs scaling and roughly linear boundaries.

Decision Tree

Simple if-then splits, easy to read. Prone to overfitting on its own, but the foundation for far stronger ensembles.

Random Forest

Many trees voting together. Robust, low-maintenance, handles non-linearity — a reliable default.

Gradient Boosting / XGBoost

Trees built sequentially to fix each other's errors. Usually the top performer on tabular data, at the cost of tuning.

SVM & KNN

SVM finds a maximum-margin boundary (scale-sensitive); KNN classifies by nearest neighbors (simple, but slow at scale). Both need scaled features.

Which to Choose

ModelInterpretableBest for
Logistic RegressionHighBaseline, explainable results
Random ForestMediumReliable default, little tuning
XGBoostLowTop accuracy on tabular data
SVM / KNNLowSmaller, well-scaled datasets

Metrics That Matter

  • Precision: of the positives you predicted, how many were right
  • Recall: of the actual positives, how many you caught
  • F1: the balance of precision and recall
  • ROC-AUC: ranking quality across every threshold

The confusion matrix above is the source of all of these — read it before trusting any single score.

Common Mistakes

  • Judging an imbalanced problem by accuracy alone
  • No train/test split — reporting scores the model has already seen
  • Leaking information by scaling or imputing before the split
  • Tuning XGBoost to death when a random forest was already enough

Comparing Models in the SKARI Model Lab

The Model Lab is built for exactly this: train several classifiers on the same data and compare them head to head — no code, no glue.

  • Fit logistic regression, random forest, XGBoost, SVM and more on one dataset
  • Compare accuracy, precision, recall, F1 and ROC-AUC side by side
  • Inspect the confusion matrix and feature importance for each model

Takeaway

You pick the winner from an honest, apples-to-apples comparison — not from whichever model you happened to run first.

Frequently Asked Questions

Which classifier should I start with?

Start with logistic regression as a baseline and a random forest as a strong default. Move to XGBoost when you need the last few points of accuracy.

Do these models need scaling?

Logistic regression, SVM and KNN do; tree-based models (random forest, XGBoost) are scale-invariant.

Accuracy or F1?

Use F1 (or precision/recall directly) whenever the classes are imbalanced or the two error types have different costs.

Conclusion

There's no single best classifier — only the best one for your data, your balance, and your tolerance for a black box. Compare fairly, and judge by the right metric.

Takeaway

Read the confusion matrix, compare models head to head, and the right choice becomes obvious.

Regression Analysis

When the outcome is a number, not a category

Data Normalization Guide

Scaling that logistic regression, SVM and KNN need

Get Started with SKARI

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